Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.050665 0.059142 0.068458 0.079433 0.091989 0.105885 0.122406
2025-03-02 0.037059 0.047931 0.060997 0.077777 0.098665 0.123716 0.155930
2025-03-09 0.029077 0.041178 0.056912 0.078678 0.107790 0.145132 0.196365
2025-03-16 0.022366 0.034439 0.051307 0.076262 0.111839 0.160253 0.230520
2025-03-23 0.019198 0.031810 0.050566 0.079962 0.124203 0.187467 0.283682
2025-03-30 0.016037 0.028482 0.048104 0.080548 0.131867 0.208638 0.330423
2025-04-06 0.013097 0.024867 0.044494 0.078634 0.135213 0.223476 0.369040
2025-04-13 0.010884 0.022011 0.041568 0.077226 0.138915 0.238903 0.409722
2025-04-20 0.009889 0.021133 0.041819 0.081096 0.151585 0.269602 0.477298
2025-04-27 0.008916 0.020096 0.041586 0.083995 0.162794 0.298804 0.544902
2025-05-04 0.007510 0.017909 0.038840 0.081848 0.164683 0.312219 0.586866
2025-05-11 0.006487 0.016318 0.036984 0.081079 0.168886 0.329867 0.637455
2025-05-18 0.005458 0.014533 0.034502 0.078821 0.170190 0.342780 0.681502
2025-05-25 0.004637 0.013054 0.032423 0.077088 0.172292 0.357342 0.729898
2025-06-01 0.004124 0.012219 0.031621 0.077936 0.179664 0.382510 0.800260
2025-06-08 0.003480 0.010901 0.029483 0.075517 0.179904 0.393753 0.844808
2025-06-15 0.003268 0.010702 0.029983 0.079173 0.193559 0.432918 0.947295
2025-06-22 0.002920 0.010039 0.029223 0.079747 0.200459 0.458856 1.025319
2025-06-29 0.002506 0.009084 0.027547 0.077847 0.201515 0.472645 1.079566
2025-07-06 0.002173 0.008291 0.026158 0.076450 0.203543 0.488609 1.139523
2025-07-13 0.002070 0.008224 0.026763 0.080284 0.218437 0.533799 1.264929
2025-07-20 0.001941 0.008038 0.026995 0.083156 0.231278 0.575441 1.385672
2025-07-27 0.001674 0.007296 0.025470 0.081029 0.231430 0.588445 1.444568